TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 516

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 516  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
750 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2008  
  
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF   
  
       SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL IOWA  
       NORTHERN ILLINOIS  
       EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSOURI  
       SOUTHERN WISCONSIN  
       LAKE MICHIGAN  
  
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM  
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.  
  
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND  
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE  
AREAS.  
  
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE  
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF  
RACINE WISCONSIN TO 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BURLINGTON IOWA.   
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH  
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).  
  
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR  
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH  
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR  
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS  
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  
  
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO  
WATCH NUMBER 513. WATCH NUMBER 513 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER  
750 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 514...WW 515...  
  
DISCUSSION...BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS IS LOCATED FROM SRN WI  
SWWD INTO SERN IA...WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS EVIDENT IN RADAR  
IMAGERY.  AIR MASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION REMAINS WARM AND  
MOIST WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S AND DEW POINTS IN  
THE 65-70 RANGE.  THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT  
WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG.  WINDS VEER AND INCREASE WITH HEIGHT  
ACROSS THE REGION ALONG THE SERN PERIPHERY OF PRIMARY MID/UPPER  
LEVEL JET STREAK LIFTING NEWD ACROSS IA AND MN...RESULTING IN STRONG  
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO SUPPORT SEVERE  
STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS.  DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE  
HAIL...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES...WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH  
STRONGEST CELLS.  ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING  
NEWD/ENEWD TONIGHT...WITH POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL SEVERE STORMS  
DEVELOPING OVER NRN MO AND SPREADING INTO SWRN PART OF THE WW LATER  
THIS EVENING.  

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