Archive for March 30, 2006

Big Day on Sunday?

Currently, the 00z NAM shows a 993mb over West Central Illinois at 00z Sunday. Cape bullseye over Macomb at 3500j/k. Dewpoints are forecasted to be over 60, with pockets of 65 possible.

Helicity looks pretty good, as does wind speeds. Might we be seeing a repeat of 3/12 but in Illinois?

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 114

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 114
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
820 PM CST THU MAR 30 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN ILLINOIS
EASTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 820 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SAINT
LOUIS MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 111...WW 112...WW 113...

DISCUSSION...BANDS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS OVER MO WILL SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN IL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
INSTABILITY WEAKENS WITH EASTWARD EXTENT...BUT STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL
WIND FIELDS SUGGEST A CONTINUED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN
STRONGER CELLS.

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